Is This a Good Bet?

Step 1 — Pick a player and a line

Type a name, choose the stat, and type the number the sportsbook is offering.

Step 2 — Your parlay

Every pick has to hit. The more picks you add, the harder it gets.

Nothing added yet. Check a player above and press “Add to my parlay”.

How this works, in plain English

  • • We pull the player’s real game-by-game stats (ESPN, free and live) and count how often they actually beat the number you typed.
  • • Recent games count more than old ones, and small samples get pulled toward a coin flip so nothing looks like a sure thing.
  • • “Fair price” is what the payout would have to be for the bet to break even. If the sportsbook offers less, they are taking a cut you can’t beat.
  • • Parlays multiply. Three 60% picks is only a 22% chance — that’s why they pay big and lose often.